Mapping mountain pine beetle infestation with high spatial resolution satellite imagery
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The on-going mountain pine beetle outbreak in British Columbia has reached historic proportions. Recently, management efforts at the local level shifted from exhaustive mapping of the infestation, to detection and mitigation of sites with minimal levels of infestation, creating an operational need for efficient and cost-effective methods to identify red-attack trees in these areas. High spatial resolution remotely sensed imagery has the potential to satisfy this information need. This paper presents the unsupervised classification of 4 metre IKONOS multispectral imagery, for the detection of mountain pine beetle red-attack, at sites with minimal infestation (< 20% of trees infested). A 4-metre buffer (analogous to a single IKONOS pixel) was applied to the red-attack trees identified on the IKONOS imagery in order to account for positional errors. When compared to the independent validation data collected from the aerial photography, it was found that 70.1% (lightly infested sites) and 92.5% (moderately infested sites) of the red-attack trees existing on the ground were correctly identified through the classification of the remotely sensed IKONOS imagery. These results demonstrate the operational potential of using an unsupervised classification of IKONOS imagery to detect and map mountain pine beetle red-attack at sites with minimal levels of infestation. Key words: mountain pine beetle, remote sensing, accuracy assessment, IKONOS, red-attack
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".