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Effectiveness of blood transfusion in Malawi

2000· letter· en· W1973780731 on OpenAlexafffund
J‐F. Hardy, P. M. Fenton

Bibliographic record

VenueAnaesthesia · 2000
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicBlood transfusion and management
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Montréal
FundersQueen's University
KeywordsMedicineContext (archaeology)Blood transfusionCaesarean sectionShock (circulatory)Haemorrhagic shockIntensive care medicinePediatricsPregnancySurgeryInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Having been very impressed by Dr Fenton's study on the effectiveness of blood transfusions for Caesarean section in Malawi (Anaesthesia 1999; 54: 1055–8), I contacted him to discuss the results and enquire on specific concerns not answered in the original article. Dr Fenton was kind enough to share with me additional data and we would like to report further information on the effectiveness of blood transfusions in this context. The results reported originally are especially significant since they help resolve a crucial issue on which very little data are available, i.e. the effectiveness of allogeneic red cells to reduce mortality in haemorrhagic shock. However, from the original report in Anaesthesia, it was not possible to determine the proportion of mothers who survived/died while transfused or not in the Central vs. District areas. This may be important since transfusion practice appears to be quite different from one area of the country to another. Six thousand nine hundred and nine (6909) patients are now included in the database. Of these, 840 were deemed to require a transfusion and 558 were effectively transfused while 282 were not, owing to blood availability. Of the transfused mothers, 33 died (5.9%) and, of those who could not be transfused, 22 died (7.8%; p = 0.369 by Chi-squared). Thus, overall, transfusion of red cells does not appear to decrease mortality, as suggested in the original publication. However, the situation is very different in diverse parts of the country. Blood is more readily available in the District but much less readily available in the Central Hospital. In the District, 591 of the 4422 mothers (13.4%) were deemed to require blood and 432 (73%) were transfused. Of the transfused mothers, 25 died (5.8%) and, of those who could not be transfused, 18 died (11.3%), a statistically significant difference (p = 0.034 by Chi-squared). Hence, in the District, blood transfusion appeared to save lives, as we have been taught to expect. In the Central Hospital, 249 of the 2487 mothers (10%) were deemed to require blood and 126 (51%) were transfused. Of the transfused mothers, eight died (6.3%) and, of those who could not be transfused, only four died (3.2%; p = 0.399 by Chi-squared). Mortality in mothers deemed to require red blood cells, but not transfused, was lower in the Central Hospital compared with the District (3.2% vs. 11.3%, respectively; p = 0.022). Thus, in the Central Hospital, not only does blood transfusion not save lives, but it appears to worsen outcome. How can we explain this apparent paradox? As stated originally, fluid therapy is also very different in diverse parts of the country. Volume replacement with nonblood fluids is aggressive in the Central Hospital while the slow transfusion of blood is often the only volume administered in the District. The additional data presented here suggest that, globally, volume replacement is more important than red cell transfusion in mothers with anaemia or shock after Caesarean section. In mothers appropriately volume resuscitated, transfusions appear to be deleterious, a situation similar to that observed in industrialised countries where the benefits of transfusions are not as apparent as once thought [1]. These results are not those of a randomised clinical trial, but we must attempt to learn the most from the difficult African medical situation. Dr Fenton's observations are important for all of us, but particularly in Africa where blood may not always be readily available for fluid resuscitation and where, in parts of the continent, the safety of blood products is problematic (the incidence of endemic HIV may be as high as 20% [2–5]). In this context, we encourage aggressive nonblood fluid therapy for initial volume resuscitation. Erythrocyte transfusions should be considered later and only when specific indications for their administration exist.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.389
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.238
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2000
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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