Anomalous 20th century tree growth, Mackenzie Delta, Northwest Territories, Canada
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A number of contemporary dendroecological studies from northwestern North America have highlighted a divergence in growth trends during recent decades. These studies suggest that warmer temperatures are now exceeding the physiological threshold of some northern tree species, or perhaps are contributing to increased drought stress as current precipitation is insufficient to offset increasing water demands under warmer conditions. Here we document additional evidence of these diverging growth trends from the Mackenzie Delta region of Canada and show they are anomalous to the twentieth century. Using wavelet coherency analyses we demonstrate that our white spruce tree ring chronologies exhibit little divergence from one another during the past four centuries, but coherency of the data‐sets rapidly break down after the 1930s.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it