Le changement familial : aspects démographiques
Bibliographic record
Abstract
L'effondrement de la fécondité québécoise, qui s'enclenche au milieu des années 1960, s'accentue chez les cohortes des années 1970, où se manifeste l'attraction irrésistible de la famille de deux enfants. Au tournant des années 1980, la probabilité d'avoir un premier enfant est la seule à résister à la baisse généralisée des indices d'agrandissement des familles. Le mariage a aussi perdu de sa popularité, sans devenir anachronique ; dans la majorité des cas, l'union libre retarde le mariage sans l'empêcher. Les ruptures d'union, qui font de plus en plus partie de l'horizon du mariage, jouent contre la fécondité et favorisent le départ précoce des enfants. Ces changements observés dans le comportement démographique des familles sont autant de signes de l'affaiblissement des liens personnels qui structuraient l'ancien tissu social.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".