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On the Use and Error of Approximation in the Domenico (1987) Solution

2008· letter· en· W1983403910 on OpenAlexaff
Christina Aziz, Philippe Blanc, Charles J. Newell

Bibliographic record

VenueGround Water · 2008
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicGroundwater flow and contamination studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Guelph
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVariable (mathematics)Context (archaeology)AttenuationMathematicsRange (aeronautics)Table (database)StatisticsMathematical analysisPhysicsApplied mathematicsOpticsGeologyComputer scienceMaterials science

Abstract

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Christopher Neuzil, Discussion Editor “On the Use and Error of Approximation in the Domenico (1987) Solution,” by M.R. West, B.H. Keuper, and M.J. Ungs, Ground Water, March–April 2007 issue, 45, no. 2: 126–135. West et al. (2007) provide a thoughtful analysis of error in the Domenico solution. One of the main conclusions of their paper is that screening models such as BIOSCREEN and BIOCHLOR, which are based on various forms of the Domenico equation, should not be used because of error associated with the Domenico solution. Although we agree that the concentrations predicted by the Domenico solution can differ from concentrations predicted by an exact solution under certain conditions, we assert that the range of errors presented in West’s paper either are not directly relevant to BIOSCREEN v1.4 and BIOCHLOR v2.2 (distributed since 1997 and 2002, respectively) or are not presented in the context of using these screening models for natural attenuation evaluations. It should be noted that BIOSCREEN v1.4 and BIOCHLOR v2.2 do not employ variable longitudinal dispersivity values—only fixed longitudinal dispersivity values. Thus, most of the error analysis in the paper using the Domenico (1987) model with variable longitudinal dispersivity (i.e., runs 1 through 8 in table 4) is not directly applicable to either of the current versions of BIOSCREEN or BIOCHLOR. In addition, the mention of BIOSCREEN as an example of the Domenico solution with variable dispersivity in table 5 of West et al. (2007) is not accurate. The curves for “3D αL= 10 m” in figures 1 and 2 of West et al. (2007) represent the only calculations that compare the exact Wexler (1992) solution to the Domenico (1987) solution with a fixed longitudinal dispersivity value, thus making the comparison to BIOSCREEN and BIOCHLOR valid. West et al. (2007) conclude that the error in concentration at a given location ranges from +2.5% to −24% near the source. However, as discussed subsequently, these concentration errors do not translate to similar errors in estimates of steady-state plume length. For natural attenuation applications, BIOSCREEN and BIOCHLOR are typically used to estimate plume lengths by fitting the Domenico solution to constituent concentrations along the plume centerline, with longitudinal dispersivity and half-life (or biodegradation rate constant) used as fitting parameters. These parameters are then used to estimate the ultimate plume length. At issue is whether fitting the Domenico solution to centerline concentrations rather than using the exact solution results in unacceptable errors in plume length estimates. To determine the significance of errors in plume length based on the Domenico solution, we used the parameters in table 2 of West et al. (2007) in an example calculation for the 3D case. We first defined plume length as the distance from the source to a concentration of 0.005 mg/L. Using the West et al. (2007) parameter values, including a 5-year half-life and a 10-m longitudinal dispersivity, the exact solution yielded a steady-state plume length of 1976 m. Again, using the exact solution, we calculated the concentration of a constituent along the plume centerline at four locations (corresponding to four hypothetical monitoring wells) spaced evenly from near the source to 1000 m (the maximum distance shown in figure 1 of West et al. 2007). We then fitted a steady-state Domenico solution curve to this dataset by adjusting the half-life and longitudinal dispersivity using the Solver routine in Excel. We used the fitted longitudinal dispersivity and half-life thus obtained to predict the plume length using the Domenico solution evaluated at steady state. After completing this exercise, the Domenico fit to the exact solution resulted in a half-life of approximately 4.86 years and a longitudinal dispersivity of 9.19 m. Using these values of half-life and longitudinal dispersivity, the Domenico solution predicted a plume length of 1961 m, an error of −1%. In the context of the other uncertainties in predicting transport in ground water, these differences are not significant. Others have reviewed the Domenico model and have concluded that it yields reasonably accurate concentration estimates along the centerline when the flow regime is dominated by advection and mechanical dispersion rather than by diffusion (Guyonnet and Neville 2004; http://www.epa.gov/ada/csmos/domenico.html). Error in the Domenico solution will be low when solving transport problems that have low dispersivity values relative to the travel distance, high advection velocities, and long simulation times (Srinivasan et al. 2007). If wells too close to the source are used in an analysis of plume length or if the Domenico solution is applied to recent spills, significant errors could result. However, natural attenuation modeling typically is conducted for plumes with solvent or petroleum releases that occurred decades ago, thus requiring long simulation times (McGuire et al. 2003; Parsons Engineering Science 1999). In conclusion, when employed with the model limitations in mind, BIOSCREEN v1.4 and BIOCHLOR v2.2 should yield reasonable estimates of plume lengths and continue to be useful, freely available tools for natural attenuation screening.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.085
Threshold uncertainty score0.288

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.048
GPT teacher head0.217
Teacher spread0.168 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations2
Published2008
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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