Prospects for Commercial Bitumen Recovery from the Grosmont Carbonate, Alberta
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The last few years have seen the end of the Athabasca land play and the revival of interest in Alberta's bitumen resources in carbonate reservoirs. Of these, the Grosmont Formation is the most promising in terms of resource size and concentration. It is also the best known, in terms of having been the subject of several in situ pilots operated in the late '70s and early '80s. The data recorded from these early pilots is priceless in terms of having a touchstone of reality for new process concepts. On the other hand, the interpretations written in those days ('before gravity') are not necessarily as helpful. This paper looks at the Grosmont in terms of facts and fundamentals, and presents the case for Grosmont exploitation. There is good evidence that the Grosmont has very high bulk permeability as a result of karst porosity development and fracturing. This bodes well for the use of modern gravity drainage methods in the Grosmont. Introduction Grosmont Piloting History The Grosmont Formation in north-central Alberta is a dolomitized, karsted and fractured platform carbonate containing a massive bitumen accumulation. An excellent historical summary of various Grosmont pilots was recently provided by Alvarez et al.(1) Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS), steam drive and forward combustion were all attempted in the Grosmont during the '70s and '80s. CSS was the most widely and successfully piloted method. The best well, at 10A-5-88-19W4, recovered about 100,000 bbls of oil over 10 cycles, with a cumulative steam-oil ratio (CSOR) of about 6. Results of other tests were mixed, as were the operating procedures; most of these were based on horizontal flooding concepts. However, responses to well-executed CSS first cycles were reasonably similar at a number of widely-spaced wells. Notably, steam injectivity was generally sufficient so that a few hundred tonnes/day could be injected at pressures that were significantly below overburden pressure (ruling out geomechanical enhancement of permeability). A degree of pessimism, or at least great caution, has been expressed with respect to the supposed complexity of the reservoir, and hence, prospects for commercial recovery. In particular, it is often said that the reservoir is very heterogenous, and that this explains the historical failure of attempted steam drive and fire flood processes. Review of the Unocal Buffalo Creek and McLean scheme reports(2, 3) suggest that much of this originates in the interpretations of the contemporary operators, who largely explored conventional EOR concepts involving horizontal displacement. They expected to recover oil by means of horizontal, radial flow. When this failed, it was natural to assume that the problem lay in a failure to maintain the 'radial' part of the prescription, due to permeability heterogeneity. Figure 1 presents the performance of the Buffalo Creek 10A-5 CSS test in perspective with a contemporary test and two modern-day, commercially-optimized CSS wells (the data is publicly available from the Alberta Energy Resources Conservation Board). It can be seen that the Grosmont well had comparable performance to a Clearwater CSS test of the same vintage.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".