Geophysical Variables and Behavior: C. Increased Geomagnetic Activity on Days of Commercial Air Crashes Attributed to Computer or Pilot Error but Not Mechanical Failure
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Global geomagnetic activity (aa values) for the days of crashes of airplanes and for each of the three days before and after the crashes were compared for 373 events (years 1940 through 2002) attributed to unknown factors, mechanical errors, electronic/computer failures or pilot errors. Interactions between days and classifications of the crashes were due to the significantly greater geomagnetic activity on the days of crashes attributed to pilot or computer error but not to mechanical or unknown factors. Successive temporal analyses indicated that the elevated activity on the days of crashes attributed to pilot error have not changed over time, but there was an increase in those attributed to electronic errors after 1965. No more than 9% of the variance in geomagnetic activity on the days of the crashes was associated with the type of crash. These results are consistent with our hypothesis that some factor or factors associated with relative increases in geomagnetic activity may affect complex electronic systems composed of either silica (computer) or carbon (brain) aggregates.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".