Increasing rates of retrogressive thaw slump activity in the Mackenzie Delta region, N.W.T., Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Climate warming at high latitudes may be contributing to the increase in areal extent of terrain disturbance associated with thawing permafrost. To evaluate change over time we analyzed historical temperature records and mapped retrogressive thaw slumps in the Mackenzie delta region using 1950, 1973 and 2004 aerial photographs. Here we show that rates of retrogressive thaw slump activity from 1973–2004 were significantly greater than during the preceding period (1950–1973) and suggest that these changes have occurred in response to a significant warming of annual and summer air temperatures during the period of record. In rolling, ice‐rich terrain, the rate of thaw slump activity can be expected to increase with continued climate warming. The impacts of slumping on landscape evolution and soil and lake chemistry will likely magnify the direct effects of warming on terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".