An Epidemiological Comparison of the US and Canadian <i>Plum pox virus</i> Eradication Programs
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Plum pox virus (PPV) was first detected in North America in 1999 in Pennsylvania, and the following year in Ontario, Canada. In response to these outbreaks, both countries implemented eradications programs in an effort to eradicate the virus before it could have a significant effect on the Prunus industry in their respective countries. The objectives of this study were to: (i) quantify the impact of the US and Canadian PPV eradication programs on the spatial and temporal dynamics of PPV in Pennsylvania and Ontario; and (ii) compare the detection efficiencies of the US and Canadian PPV sampling systems. Ripley's K function revealed PPV-positive Prunus blocks in Pennsylvania to be clustered between distances of 0.7 and 4.3 km in 2000, while in Ontario, PPV-positive blocks were clustered between distances of 1 and 25 km over the period 2006-2009. A simulation model was developed to determine the relative detection efficiencies of the US and Canadian PPV eradication programs. The US eradication program was found to have a detection efficiency of 71.7%, whereas the Canadian eradication program had a detection efficiency of 40.5%. The data generated in this study should help to improve the PPV eradication programs currently used in the US and Canada, as well as provide a scientific basis to evaluate future eradication programs. Accepted for publication 23 May 2012. Published 23 July 2012.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it