Archimedean copula model selection under dependent truncation
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
One-sided truncated survival data arise when a pair of time-to-event variables (X, Y) is observed only when X<Y. Existing methods of analysis rely on the assumption of quasi-independence between X and Y. Recently, Lakhal-Chaieb et al. (Biometrika 2006; 93:655-669) modeled potential dependency between these random variables via a semi-survival Archimedean copula. In this paper, we present a model selection procedure to rank a set of semi-survival Archimedean copula families according to their ability to fit a given data set subject to dependent truncation. The proposed procedure is based on a truncated version of Kendall's tau (J. Multivariate Anal. 1996; 56:60-74). The performance of the proposal is illustrated through simulations and three real data sets.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it