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Record W1992414824 · doi:10.2118/0206-0014-jpt

Comments: Blessings and Curses

2006· article· en· W1992414824 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
John Donnelly

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Petroleum Technology · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicMiddle East and Rwanda Conflicts
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMiddle EastState (computer science)Oil boomCursePolitical scienceDiplomacyBlessingPoliticsMedia studiesLawSociologyHistoryEconomicsArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A new television program recently debuted on the BBC that explores issues of interest to the Middle East. Titled The Doha Debates, the program has explored such issues as terrorism, the war in Iraq, the state of journalism in the region, women's equality, and the Palestinians. On the eve of the first International Petroleum Technology Conference (IPTC), held in Doha, the panel and audience debated the proposition: "This House believes that oil has been more of a curse than a blessing for the Middle East." The shows are taped before a live audience, primarily students, at Qatar Foundation's headquarters in Education City. It featured two experts on each side of the question, including a professor and a petroleum analyst arguing for the motion and an adviser to Qatar's energy ministry and a Saudi national security consultant speaking against. The motion resoundingly carried, with 63% of the audience voting in favor of the proposition. The program appeared a bit skewed toward agreement with the motion, but perhaps it does say something about the challenge confronting the industry in its attempt to improve its image when that question is debated in a region where oil has brought enormous benefits, and in Doha, the site of recent spectacular energy successes. Doha is the site of a massive construction boom, a testament to the economic boost oil and gas resources already have brought to the state. Qatar's future looks even more promising, with major projects being undertaken by Qatar Petroleum, Shell, and ExxonMobil, to name a few. Not far from the BBC debate, global oil and gas government officials and executives would be meeting at IPTC, discussing how to satisfy the tremendous growing appetite for hydrocarbons and the critical role that the Middle East will play in providing those resources. Although the motion addressed in the program was provocative, it was not original. In a 2004 program, the BBC asked, "Africa's oil: A blessing or a curse?" and a recent documentary available through the Filmmakers Library was titled "Oil in Iraq: Curse or Blessing." Recent magazine articles and white papers have asked the almost identical question about East Timor, Canada, and other regions. The two experts who thought oil has been more of a curse than a blessing for the region cited wars and military turmoil, regional gross domestic product rates compared with other parts of the world, and the great dependence by regional governments on unstable oil prices. Opponents of the argument stressed that it is neither the resource nor the industry that is at fault, but often geopolitics surrounding oil that has tarnished oil's reputation. They were essentially agreeing with the remarks of Daniel Yergin, Chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Assocs., who gave the keynote speech at IPTC's Awards Banquet. What happens above ground, he said, is just as important as what lies below ground, emphasizing the importance of proper stewardship of natural resources. Taken further, whether oil is a curse or a blessing may also depend on how the industry—including international oil companies, state-run enterprises, and service providers—manages and develops resources for the good of society. Such debates are probably healthy for the industry in the long run. Any opportunity that a representative of this industry has to tout its benefits, explain how things really work, share experiences, and counteract public misperception is a positive, even if the playing field doesn't appear level. Those opportunities may even motivate someone to pursue an energy career, improve technological literacy, or help educate a new generation about the oil and gas profession.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.952
Threshold uncertainty score0.211

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.263 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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