Long‐term variations of UV‐B irradiance over Canada estimated from Brewer observations and derived from ozone and pyranometer measurements
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Routine uniform spectral UV‐B measurements with Brewer spectrophotometers in the Canadian network began in 1989. This relatively short duration of UV measurements militates against reliable detection of long‐term changes in UV. A statistical model has been developed to extend the record of UV back to the early 1960s. It estimates UV values (at individual wavelengths and spectrally integrated) from global solar radiation, total ozone, dew point temperature, and snow cover. The model results are demonstrated to be in good agreement with the measurements. For example, the standard deviation of the difference between monthly values of measured and derived erythemally weighted UV irradiation is 3.3% for summer months. The major source of error in the model estimates is probably linked to rare occurrences of absorbing aerosols in the atmosphere. Long records of reliable measurements of total ozone, global solar radiation, and other parameters made it possible to derive UV‐B values at three Canadian stations from the mid‐1960s. Trends in derived erythemally weighted UV at two stations (Toronto and Edmonton) are similar to those expected from total ozone trends although the estimated error of the UV trends is more than 2 times larger. However, the increase in annual UV at Churchill (59°N) in 1979–1997 was found to be more than twice that expected from the ozone decline. This is a result of longterm changes in snow cover and clouds.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".