On the impact of streaming interface heuristics on GP trading agents
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Most research into frameworks for evolving trading agents emphasize aspects associated with the evolution of technical indicators and decision trees / rules. One of the factors that drives the development of such frameworks is the non-stationary, streaming nature of the task. However, it is the heuristics used to interface the evolutionary framework to the streaming data which potentially have most impact on the quality of the resulting trading agents. We demonstrate that including a validation partition has a significant impact on determining the overall success of the trading agents. Moreover, rather than conduct evolution on a continuous basis, only retraining when changes in trading quality are detected also yields significant advantages. Neither of these heuristics are widely recognized by research in evolving trading agent frameworks, although both are relatively easy to add to current frameworks. Benchmarking over a 3 year period of the EURUSD foreign exchange supports these findings.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.015 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it