Bias‐Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Negative Binomial Dispersion Parameter
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We derive a first-order bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimator for the negative binomial dispersion parameter. This estimator is compared, in terms of bias and efficiency, with the maximum likelihood estimator investigated by Piegorsch (1990, Biometrics46, 863-867), the moment and the maximum extended quasi-likelihood estimators investigated by Clark and Perry (1989, Biometrics45, 309-316), and a double-extended quasi-likelihood estimator. The bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimator has superior bias and efficiency properties in most instances. For ease of comparison we give results for the two-parameter negative binomial model. However, an example involving negative binomial regression is given.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it