Clinical management and outcome of papillary and follicular (differentiated) thyroid cancer presenting with distant metastasis at diagnosis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Differentiated thyroid cancer has a good prognosis and only rarely presents with distant metastasis at diagnosis. The clinical outcome of this presentation was assessed with respect to survival and factors that may determine prognosis. METHODS: A retrospective review was undertaken of patients with stage M1 differentiated thyroid cancer at presentation (n = 49), referred from 1980-2000 at a single institution. RESULTS: The median age was 68 (range, 17-90), with 69% females. The initial site(s) of metastasis were lung only, 45%, bone only, 39%, other single site, 4%, and multiple sites, 12%. HISTOLOGY: papillary, 51%, follicular, 49%. Initial treatment(s) included: thyroidectomy, 82%, radioactive iodine (RAI), 88%, excision of metastasis, 29%, radiotherapy, 47%, and chemotherapy, 6%. With a median follow-up time of 3.5 years, 25 patients are alive (51%) and 24 died (49%), with 3-year and 5-year actuarial survivals of 69% and 50%, respectively. Only a minority of patients (4/25, 16%) had no clinical evidence of disease at last follow-up. Most deaths (17/24, 71%) were due to progressive cancer. Prognosis was associated with age, site of metastasis, histology, and iodine avidity of the metastasis. Patients aged </=45 (n = 8) had a 3-year survival of 100%, versus 62% for those age > 45 years (P = .001). The 3-year survival for lung only versus bone only metastasis was 77% versus 56% (P = .02); for papillary versus follicular carcinoma, 75% versus 62% (P = .006); for iodine-avid disease (n = 29) versus not avid (n = 14), 82% versus 57% (P = .02), respectively. In multivariate analysis after adjusting for age, only histology and iodine avidity remained significant for survival. The hazard ratio for follicular histology was 3.7 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-12.1, P = .03), and for tumors not avid for iodine, 3.4 (95% CI, 1.2-9.2, P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: The data support the aggressive management of patients presenting with stage M1 thyroid cancer, with thyroidectomy and RAI. Complete clinical eradication of disease was rarely seen, and 50% of patients survived for more than 5 years. Young patients with papillary tumors and/or iodine-avid disease have an even better prognosis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".