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Record W2003952797 · doi:10.1353/bhm.2014.0028

Pathogens for War: Biological Weapons, Canadian Life Scientists, and North America Biodefence by Donald Avery (review)

2014· article· en· W2003952797 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
John Ellis van Courtland Moon

Bibliographic record

VenueBulletin of the history of medicine · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicBacillus and Francisella bacterial research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBiological warfareContext (archaeology)AllianceGovernment (linguistics)World War IINuclear weaponPoliticsPolitical scienceTerrorismSpanish Civil WarLawHistoryEnvironmental ethicsArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Reviewed by: Pathogens for War: Biological Weapons, Canadian Life Scientists, and North America Biodefence by Donald Avery John Ellis van Courtland Moon Donald Avery. Pathogens for War: Biological Weapons, Canadian Life Scientists, and North America Biodefence. Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2013. xii + 410 pp. Ill. $36.95 (978-1-4426-1424-6). Professor Donald Avery has written the most definitive available history of the Canadian biological warfare (BW) program. The scope of Pathogens for War is to analyze “the impact of bioweapons, bioterrorism, and pandemics within the historical context” (p. 3). Avery places the Canadian BW narrative with several broader contexts: (1) national politics where the Canadian government pursued a secret BW research and development program in the face of mounting public antipathy; (2) North Atlantic security, which bound Canada into combined biological planning with the United States and the United Kingdom; and (3) the role of BW within a world dominated by nuclear weapons. Although the United States was the dominant partner in the above Tripartite alliance, Avery details the important contributions Canada made to their combined BW program: a major testing ground, the Suffield Experimental Station, the joint U.S. Canadian rinderpest station on Grosse Isle, the Kingston Laboratory that researched shellfish poisons and insect vectors. Of special importance to the joint BW effort were the outstanding Canadian scientists who gained the respect of their American colleagues. [End Page 395] Pathogens for War is divided into two sections: part 1 deals with biological weapons programs during the Second World War and the Cold War, part 2 with the changes in BW policy and preparedness following President Nixon’s 1969 renunciation of the offensive program. Part 1 is dominated by the BW threat from state powers, Nazi Germany, Imperial Japan, and Soviet Russia; part 2 by the bioterrorism threat accompanied by increasing concern over pandemics and anxiety over BW proliferation. In part 1 the major threat comes from traditional biological agents, in part 2 from genetically engineered agents. During both phases, the threat of BW sabotage remained a matter of high concern. Biological weapons, with their ability to penetrate into buildings, were seen as highly effective when used against urban centers. One attack model predicted that if Toronto were deluged with anthrax, the attack would result in casualties of “‘at least 20% of the exposed population’” (p. 163). The difficulties of preparing against a biological attack were complicated by several factors. First, since initial BW research and development takes place in laboratories and can be masked as genuine medical research, it is excruciatingly difficult to obtain intelligence on BW activities. Second, a deliberate BW attack could be difficult to distinguish from a natural disease outbreak. Third, in case of a biological attack, it was highly unlikely that the defender could detect the incoming attack or identify the agent in real time. The limitations of BW intelligence created a planning dilemma. Since security officials were uncertain of the BW capabilities of their potential enemies, they planned for the worst. The BW attack scenarios depicted catastrophic events. Given the scarcity of historical record, the BW scenarios largely reflected the horrendous effects produced by the plagues of the past. As the recent SARS and bird flu epidemics have reminded us, nature has proven to be a greater killer than man. As Avery points out, biological weapons research has created its own dilemmas. Professional scientists prefer open research, which many arms controllers also favor as building confidence that a potential enemy is not cheating on the Biological Warfare Convention (1972), which prohibits the production, stockpiling, maintenance, or transfer of biological agents and toxins. But open ended research, especially given the work on recombinant DNA, poses the threat of proliferating the capabilities of rogue nations. How well prepared were the major national states to wage BW during the Cold War? Avery judges that by 1969, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada had transformed BW into a viable military option. They could create agents, establish production facilities, and produce the weapons necessary for the delivery of biological attacks. Moreover, the large area coverage dissemination concept was demonstrated by the trials held under Project 112. A caveat is necessary: Avery claims that two...

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.507
Threshold uncertainty score0.520

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.218
Teacher spread0.201 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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