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Record W2004195880 · doi:10.1109/icmla.2011.115

Predicting Patients Likely to Overstay in Hospitals

2011· article· en· W2004195880 on OpenAlexaff
R. Vivanco, Dan Roberts

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicMachine Learning in Healthcare
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Manitoba
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomic shortageScheduleDecision treeMedicineMedical emergencyOperations managementComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Patients that remain in the hospital system longer than necessary (overstay patients) represent a sizeable operational cost and contribute to hospital waiting times and bed shortages. Patient data from four hospitals were analyzed in order to build a classifier that would identity patients that are likely to overstay. The patients that overstay often require special assistance, such as nursing home placement or home care arrangements, and need to be identified early in admission so as to schedule a timely discharge from the hospital. Age, co-morbidity and activities of daily living scores (such as ability to dress and feed oneself) were the major factors in determining if a patient is likely to overstay while waiting special dispensation. The aim of the research is to develop a decision support system using machine learning strategies. A decision tree classifier achieved F-Measure of 0.826 identifying overstay patients from a tertiary teaching hospital and an F-Measure of 0.784 at a community hospital.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.030
Threshold uncertainty score0.386

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.258
Teacher spread0.239 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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