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Methodology for Bayesian Belief Network Development to Facilitate Compliance with Water Quality Regulations

2010· article· en· W2007338884 on OpenAlexafffund
Shannon A. Joseph, Barry J. Adams, Brenda McCabe

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Infrastructure Systems · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicWater Systems and Optimization
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaCanadian Water Network
KeywordsBayesian networkDecision support systemQuality (philosophy)Expert systemRisk analysis (engineering)EngineeringComputer scienceData miningArtificial intelligenceBusiness

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Limited resources and drinking water quality requirements pose significant challenges to those managing small and rural drinking water distribution systems (WDSs). Real-time monitoring technologies could support regulatory compliance, if shortcomings such as false readings and data corruption could be overcome. Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) are proposed as a means to mitigate technological shortcomings and increase certainty about the state of a given WDS. This paper describes a methodology for the development of BBNs that integrates known system characteristics with real-time monitoring technologies to support the water quality compliance of small or rural WDSs. Expert judgment was used both in the development of the structure of the BBN and in quantifying the required probability relationships. The results of a case study application of this methodology suggest that it is useful in developing a BBN to support decision making for a WDS with limited use of real-time monitoring technology.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.014
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.045
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.076

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0140.045
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0030.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.062
GPT teacher head0.276
Teacher spread0.214 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations39
Published2010
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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