Nested Generalized Linear Mixed Models: An Orthodox Best Linear Unbiased Predictor Approach
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Summary We introduce a new class of generalized linear mixed models based on the Tweedie exponential dispersion model distributions, accommodating a wide range of discrete, continuous and mixed data. Using the best linear unbiased predictor of random effects, we obtain an optimal estimating function for the regression parameters in the sense of Godambe, allowing an efficient common fitting algorithm for the whole class. Although allowing full parametric inference, our main results depend only on the first- and second-moment assumptions of unobserved random effects. In addition, we obtain consistent estimators for both regression and dispersion parameters. We illustrate the method by analysing the epilepsy data and cake baking data. Along with simulations and asymptotic justifications, this shows the usefulness of the method for analysis of clustered non-normal data.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.012 | 0.033 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it