State‐space Models with Finite Dimensional Dependence
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We consider nonlinear state‐space models, where the state variable (ζ t ) is Markov, stationary and features finite dimensional dependence (FDD), i.e. admits a transition function of the type: π(ζ t |ζ t −1 ) =π(ζ t ) a ′(ζ t ) b (ζ t −1 ), where π(ζ t ) denotes the marginal distribution of ζ t , with a finite number of cross‐effects between the present and past values. We discuss various characterizations of the FDD condition in terms of the predictor space and nonlinear canonical decomposition. The FDD models are shown to admit explicit recursive formulas for filtering and smoothing of the observable process, that arise as an extension of the Kitagawa approach. The filtering and smoothing algorithms are given in the paper. JEL. C4.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it