Profile Likelihood-Based Confidence Intervals and Regions for Structural Equation Models
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Structural equation models (SEM) are widely used for modeling complex multivariate relationships among measured and latent variables. Although several analytical approaches to interval estimation in SEM have been developed, there lacks a comprehensive review of these methods. We review the popular Wald-type and lesser known likelihood-based methods in linear SEM, emphasizing profile likelihood-based confidence intervals (CIs). Existing algorithms for computing profile likelihood-based CIs are described, including two newer algorithms which are extended to construct profile likelihood-based confidence regions (CRs). Finally, we illustrate the use of these CIs and CRs with two empirical examples, and provide practical recommendations on when to use Wald-type CIs and CRs versus profile likelihood-based CIs and CRs. OpenMx example code is provided in an Online Appendix for constructing profile likelihood-based CIs and CRs for SEM.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.133 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it