Nonparametric empirical bayes procedures, asymptotic optimality And rates Of convergence For two‐tail tests In exponential family<sup>*</sup>
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper provides nonparametric empirical Bayes (EB) solutions to two-tail test in the exponential family , under the standard product loss function which is proportional to (θ-θ1) (θ-θ2) for incorrectly accepting H1. Based on empirical data X1,…X n , and the present data X from nonparametric (in the sense that G is completely unknown and unspecified) EB test procedures are proposed. These procedures are asymptotically optimal (a.o.) whenever Further, for every integer s > 0 a class of non-parametric EB test procedures is proposed. These procedures are shown to be a.o. with rates for 0 < λ ≤ 2 satisfying certain conditions. Examples of exponential families and gamma densities are given where these conditions reduce to some simple moment conditions on G. No assumption on the smoothness of the function u(.), (and hence of the density function of X), is made at all for any of the results of this paper. By an example of a family of distributions, it is demonstrated that the rates arbitrarily close to o(n -1) can be attained by these procedures in some situations. It is noted, however, that the actual rates of convergence really depends on the nature of the unknown prior distribution G.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.036 | 0.157 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".