Progression to and spontaneous regression of high-grade anal squamous intraepithelial lesions in HIV-infected and uninfected men
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To quantify incidence of, and risk factors for, progression to and spontaneous regression of high-grade anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (ASILs). DESIGN: Retrospective review of patients at St Vincent's Hospital Anal Cancer Screening Clinic during a period when high-grade ASILs were not routinely treated (2004-2011). METHODS: All patients who had an anal Papanicolaou smear or high-resolution anoscopy were included, except for patients with previous anal cancer. High-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) was defined as a composite of histologically confirmed grade 2 or 3 anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN2/3) and/or high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion on anal cytology. Analyses were repeated restricting to histologically confirmed AIN3. RESULTS: There were 574 patients: median age 45 years (interquartile range, IQR 36-51), 99.3% male and 73.0% HIV-infected [median HIV duration was 13.8 years (IQR 6.4-19.8), median CD4+ T-lymphocyte count was 500 cells/μl (IQR 357-662), 83.5% had undetectable plasma HIV viral load]. Median follow-up was 1.1 years (IQR 0.26-2.76). Progression rate to HGAIN was 7.4/100 person-years (95% confidence interval, CI 4.73-11.63). No risk factor for progression to HGAIN was identified; progression to AIN3 was more likely with increasing age (Ptrend = 0.004) and in those who were HIV-infected [hazard ratio 2.8 (95% CI 1.18-6.68) versus HIV-uninfected; P = 0.019], particularly in those whose nadir CD4+ T-lymphocyte count was less than 200 cells/μl (Ptrend = 0.003). In 101 patients with HGAIN, 24 (23.8%) patients had spontaneous regression [rate 23.5/100 person-years (95% CI 15.73-35.02)], mostly to AIN1. Regression was less likely in older patients (Ptrend = 0.048). Two patients with HGAIN developed anal cancer. CONCLUSION: High-grade ASILs frequently spontaneously regress. Longer-term, prospective studies are required to determine whether these regressions are sustained.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it