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Record W2015007302 · doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/7/072053

Lake ecosystem response to climate change 8200 years ago. A multi-proxy study at Lake Højby Sø, Denmark

2009· article· en· W2015007302 on OpenAlexaff
Peter Rasmussen, Mikkel Ulfeldt Hede, Nanna Noe-Nygaard, Andrew Clarke, Rolf D. Vinebrooke

Bibliographic record

VenueIOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldArts and Humanities
TopicHistorical and Archaeological Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProxy (statistics)Lake ecosystemClimate changeOceanographyEcosystemPhysical geographyEnvironmental scienceGeographyClimatologyGeologyEcologyBiology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The assessment of present-day climate effects on lake ecosystems in lowland Europe is difficult for two<br/>reasons: i. the absence of long-term monitoring data (usually less than 30 yrs) which makes it difficult to<br/>determine natural variation, and ii. the problem of distinguishing between the effects of climate and the<br/>effects of human activities. These problems also complicate the prediction of possible future climate<br/>influence on lake ecology. A way of circumventing these problems is the use of lake sediment records which<br/>contain a wealth of information about past lake history over long time scales and under different climate and<br/>land-use regimes. Using a sediment record from Lake Højby Sø, Denmark, the aim of the present study was<br/>to explore ecological response to the most pronounced climate change known from the Holocene: an abrupt<br/>cooling event around 8200 cal. yr BP, also known as the ‘8.2 kyr cooling event’. The event has been<br/>recorded as a negative &amp;#948;18O excursion in the central Greenland ice cores, lasting c. 160 years from<br/>8247–8086 cal. yr BP (Thomas et al. 2007, Quat. Sci. Rev. 26, 70–81). In Greenland the maximum cooling<br/>was estimated to be 6 ± 2oC while in southern Fennoscandia and the Baltic countries pollen-based<br/>quantitative temperature reconstructions indicate a maximum annual mean temperature decrease of around<br/>1.5 oC (Alley et al. 1997, Geology 25, 483–486; Seppä et al. 2007, Clim. of the past 3, 225–236). Today<br/>there is a general consensus that the primary cause of the cooling event was the final collapse of the<br/>Laurentide ice sheet near Hudson Bay and the associated sudden drainage of the proglacial Lake Agassiz<br/>into the North Atlantic Ocean (e.g. Kleiven et al. 2008, Science 319, 60–64). This freshwater outflow<br/>reduced the strength of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation and thereby the heat transported to the<br/>North Atlantic region, resulting in an atmospheric cooling (e.g. Barber et al. 1999, Nature 400, 344–348).<br/>The climatic consequences of this meltwater flood is assumed to be a good geological analogue for future<br/>climate-change scenarios, as a freshening of the North Atlantic is projected by almost all global-warming<br/>models (e.g. IPCC 2007). In Denmark the 8.2 kyr event pre-dates the introduction of agriculture (by more<br/>than two millennia) and any other major human impact on the environment, so allowing the anthropogenic<br/>factor to be disregarded. At Lake Højby Sø the 8.2 kyr event was identified using AMS 14C dating and<br/>high-resolution multi-proxy studies of the sediments involving geochemistry, magnetic susceptibility,<br/>pollen, macrofossil, diatom and algal pigment analysis. The 8.2 kyr climatic anomaly involved a distinct<br/>increase in regional precipitation as inferred from an abrupt increase in catchment soil erosion. This lasted<br/>for at least 250 years and gave rise to a drastic increase in sedimentation rates of inorganic and organic<br/>material. The enhanced soil erosion also increased the input of nutrients leading to an increase in lake<br/>productivity as reflected by high algal pigment accumulation rates in the period c. 8400–7950 cal yr BP.<br/>After c. 7950 cal yr BP algal productivity declined somewhat but the lake did not return to its pre-8400 cal<br/>yr BP conditions remaining a more productive and nutrient rich lake than before the climate-induced change.<br/>Thus, at this point the lake seems to have experienced a climate-driven regime shift. The pollen data from<br/>Lake Højby Sø reveal a drop in temperature during the 8.2 kyr event as inferred from a reduced pollen<br/>production from thermophilous deciduous trees. However, a temperature effect was not demonstrable in the<br/>lake ecosystem, at least based on the proxies analysed. If present, a temperature forcing on the aquatic<br/>ecosystem appears to have been fully overridden by climate-induced catchment processes. In conclusion,<br/>our study suggests that during the 8.2 kyr cooling event hydrological change was of more importance for<br/>lake ecosystem process than the change in air temperature.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.627
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.041
GPT teacher head0.222
Teacher spread0.181 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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