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A Bayesian Adjustment for Multiplicative Measurement Errors for a Calibration Problem with Application to a Stem Cell Study

2011· article· en· W2017634977 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueBiometrics · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsCanadian Blood ServicesUniversity of SaskatchewanUniversity of Alberta
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsBayesian probabilityCalibrationMultiplicative functionComputer scienceStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

We develop a Bayesian approach to a calibration problem with one interested covariate subject to multiplicative measurement errors. Our work is motivated by a stem cell study with the objective of establishing the recommended minimum doses for stem cell engraftment after a blood transplant. When determining a safe stem cell dose based on the prefreeze samples, the postcryopreservation recovery rate enters in the model as a multiplicative measurement error term, as shown in the model. We examine the impact of ignoring measurement errors in terms of asymptotic bias in the regression coefficient. According to the general structure of data available in practice, we propose a two-stage Bayesian method to perform model estimation via R2WinBUGS (Sturtz, Ligges, and Gelman, 2005, Journal of Statistical Software 12, 1-16). We illustrate this method by the aforementioned motivating example. The results of this study allow routine peripheral blood stem cell processing laboratories to establish recommended minimum stem cell doses for transplant and develop a systematic approach for further deciding whether the postthaw analysis is warranted.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.708
Threshold uncertainty score0.520

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.228
GPT teacher head0.365
Teacher spread0.137 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it