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Violence Risk Assessment: Using Structured Clinical Guides Professionally

2002· article· en· W2019503963 on OpenAlexaff
Christopher D. Webster, Rüdiger Müller‐Isberner, Göran Fransson

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Forensic Mental Health · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPsychology
TopicPsychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending
Canadian institutionsSt. Joseph’s Healthcare Hamilton
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCoding (social sciences)PsychologyMental healthEconomic JusticeCriminal justiceWork (physics)Scheme (mathematics)Applied psychologyComputer scienceSociologyCriminologyPsychiatryLawEngineeringPolitical science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The HCR-20 has gained considerable acceptance by mental health, forensic, and criminal justice professionals since its initial publication only seven and a half years ago. Scientific evidence has gradually accrued to show that the guide can be used reliably and validly. Yet the scheme is sometimes misapplied. It is important that HCR-20 item definitions be kept anchored to the text to prevent “drift” that the guide be seen as a vehicle to promote discussion among colleagues rather than being viewed as capable of offering violence risk estimates that necessarily approach full accuracy; that would-be users should receive practice in coding case examples; and that, as urged in the basic manual, clinicians and researchers make all possible effort to avoid omitting items. The paper offers suggestions about conceptual and research work that needs to be completed in the future and offers one concrete example of a project in progress.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.670
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.089
GPT teacher head0.474
Teacher spread0.385 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations96
Published2002
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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