Rise and decline of active chlorine in the stratosphere
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Our ground‐based millimeter‐wave measurements of chlorine monoxide (ClO) in the ozone layer above Hawaii since 1992, together with a few measurements from the same site using an earlier version of the same instrument during the 1980's, provide a unique data set for the determination of the long‐term trend of active chlorine in the middle stratosphere. The trend shows a rapid rise of 58% from 1982 to a broad maximum in 1994–1997 and a substantial decline of 1.5%/year from the maximum through late 2004. About 1/3 of the decline may be due to changes in methane. Both the rise and the decline are consistent with that expected from the rise and decline of total chlorine in the troposphere, which reached a maximum in 1992–1993, then declined sharply after implementation of international agreements to phase out chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) production starting with the Montreal Protocol.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".