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Record W2021125002 · doi:10.1002/art.38580

A154: Glucocorticoid Therapy and the Risk of Incident Vertebral Fracture in Children with Rheumatic Disorders

2014· article· en· W2021125002 on OpenAlexaff
Claire LeBlanc, Jinhui Ma, Rosie Scuccimarri, David A. Cabral, Peter B. Dent, Janet Ellsworth, Kristin Houghton, Adam M. Huber, Roman Juřenčák, Bianca Lang, Maggie Larché, Brian C. Lentle, Mary Ann Matzinger, Päivi Miettunen, Kiem Oen, Johannes Roth, Claire Saint‐Cyr, Nazih Shenouda, Monica Taljaard, Leanne M. Ward

Bibliographic record

VenueArthritis & Rheumatology · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAutoimmune and Inflammatory Disorders Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of ManitobaDalhousie UniversityUniversité de MontréalUniversity of AlbertaMcMaster UniversityUniversity of OttawaUniversity of British ColumbiaUniversity of CalgaryMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineGlucocorticoidPediatricsInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background/Purpose: To determine the incidence of vertebral fracture (VF) in the three years following glucocorticoid (GC) initiation, and the effect of GC on the risk of incident VF in children with rheumatic disorders (RD). Methods: Children with RD were enrolled within 30 days of GC initiation and followed for 3 years, with VF assessed at baseline and then annually using the Genant method on lateral spine radiographs. An incident VF was defined as a new fracture in a previously normal vertebral body or worsening of an existing VF. The annual and the 3 year cumulative incidences were calculated as the number of new cases divided by the number of subjects who completed VF assessment at the specified time periods. Six different time‐dependent GC exposure measures were constructed: cumulative dose, average daily dose, duration on GC therapy, dose intensity (cumulative dose divided by duration on GC therapy) over 3 years, recent average daily dose and duration on GC therapy over the preceding 12 months. Extended Cox's models were used with alternative time‐dependent variables, adjusting for factors at baseline including age, gender, body mass index, vitamin D and calcium supplementation, disease activity, bone mineral density, physical activity, and presence of prevalent VF. Results: 136 enrolled children (mean ± SD age 9.9 ± 4.4 years, 65% girls) held the following diagnoses: 22% juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM), 21% non‐systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), 19% systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), 18% systemic JIA, 12% systemic vasculitis, and 9% other RD. 9 children had VF at baseline (3 JDM, 2 systemic JIA, 2 SLE, 1 systemic vasculitis, 1 localized scleroderma), with an estimated prevalence of 6.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.4–10.8%). 18 incident VF were identified in 15 children during the 3 years following GC initiation (6 JDM, 4 SLE, 2 systemic vasculitis, 2 systemic JIA, and 1 non‐systemic JIA). The 3‐year cumulative VF incidence was 13.0%, at a rate of 4.9 per 100 person‐years. Of the 18 incident VF events, 7 occurred during the first year at an annual incidence of 6.0% (95% CI 1.7–10.3%); 6 VF occurred during the second year (annual incidence 5.6%; 95% CI 1.2–9.9%); 5 VF occurred during the third year (annual incidence 4.3%; 95% CI 1.0–8.1%). 64% of patients had mild incident VF as the worst grade, 36% had moderate fractures, and none had severe fractures. Of those with incident fractures, 21% had no complaints of back pain in the preceding 12 months. Multivariable models showed that every 100 mg/kg increase in cumulative GC dose was associated with a 30% increased incident VF risk (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.3, 95% CI 1.1, 1.6). Every 0.5mg/kg increase in average daily dose over the 3 year period was associated with a 4.2 fold increased VF risk (HR = 4.2, 95% CI 2.3, 7.7), and every 0.5 mg/kg increase in daily dose during the preceding 12 months was associated with a 2.7 fold increased incident VF risk (HR =2.7, 95% CI 1.3, 5.2). Conclusion: We have shown that 13.0% of children with RD sustained VF within three years followingGC initiation, of which 36% had moderate fractures. Cumulative dose, average daily GC dose, and recent average daily GC dose were associated with a significantly increased VF risk. Funded by CIHR FRN 64285

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.078
Threshold uncertainty score0.447

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.004
GPT teacher head0.220
Teacher spread0.216 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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