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Record W2022044207 · doi:10.1093/shm/hki053

Twenty-First Century Plague. The Story of SARS

2005· article· en· W2022044207 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Tony McMichael

Bibliographic record

VenueSocial History of Medicine · 2005
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicCOVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPlague (disease)VirologyCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakPandemicHistoryAncient historyMedicineOutbreakInfectious disease (medical specialty)Pathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Focus section is a new regular feature that brings together reviews of books on related subjects to simulate debate and mark historiographic trends.SARS, like AIDS, is one of those elite acronymic words now seared into modern consciousness.Its shell-burst dissemination to dozens of countries in the first half of 2003, infecting over 8,000 persons and killing one-tenth of them, and its ominous pandemic potential, captured headlines for months.SARS also caused severe social and commercial disruption, forcing economic losses of approximately $30 billion.Like HIV, SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) typifies the sort of unexpected new epidemic disease that can 'emerge' in response to the rapidly changing scale and intensity of modern human economic activity, environmental encroachment, and physical mobility.This book, by an experienced Asian journalist, tells the story well.Thomas Abraham recounts, with impressive detail, the evolution of the short-lived pandemic and enriches the tale with insights into its political, cultural and commercial undercurrents.It chronicles the role of the World Health Organization (WHO), including its place in coordinating a remarkable (though inevitably competitive) international scientific collaboration to identify the virus responsible.The actual source of the SARS coronavirus remains uncertain.The evidence points to a zoonotic source, probably arising from animal husbandry or from live-animal trading in wet markets.As the author reminds us, most new infectious agents acquired by humans since agrarian settlement began have come from zoonotic sources via the occasional microbial mutant that successfully crosses the species barrier.SARS emerged from the world's backblocks.In November 2002 a middle-aged villager in Guangdong province, southern China, was admitted to hospital with a mysterious respiratory disease.By the end of the year, another 25 persons developed similar severe respiratory symptoms, including seventeen health-care workers exposed to just two of the cases.Early in 2003 information began to filter out about these, public anxiety rose, and the provincial centre for disease control in Guanghzou despatched investigators.Soon the disease reached adjoining Hong Kong, where both hospital 'super-spreading' and defective sewerage design in high-rise housing amplified the spread.By March the WHO was involved and coordinating surveillance activities and control policies.Cases began to be reported more widely, especially from Canada.Propelled by modern air travel, SARS extended to all continents and 31 countries.Meanwhile, the Chinese government remained secretive and insisted that the outbreak was limited in size, under control, and most likely due to 'atypical pneumonia'.The secretiveness was heightened by the politically exquisite timing of the outbreak, just before the central handover of power from Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao.Party authorities wanted no rocking of the boat.Nevertheless, some courageous internal criticism (unthinkable several decades ago) and the manifest increase in the outbreak in Beijing during March -April finally forced the government to concede the magnitude of the problem; by now much greater than if open reporting had been followed earlier.This point was

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.578
Threshold uncertainty score0.878

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.056
GPT teacher head0.262
Teacher spread0.206 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations23
Published2005
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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