The Changing Face of Childhood Celiac Disease in North America: Impact of Serological Testing
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The goal was to evaluate the impact of immunoglobulin A endomysial antibody testing on the incidence and clinical presentation of childhood celiac disease. METHODS: The incidence and clinical presentation of celiac disease in patients <18 years of age in 1990-1996 (pretesting group) versus 2000-2006 (testing group) were compared. RESULTS: The median age at diagnosis was 2 years (95% confidence interval: 2-4 years) in the pretesting group (N = 36), compared with 9 years (95% confidence interval: 8-10 years) in the testing group (N = 199; P < .001); the female/male ratios (1.6:1) were similar (P = .982). The incidence of celiac disease increased from 2.0 cases per 100000 children (pretesting group) to 7.3 cases per 100000 children (testing group; P = .0256). The frequency of classic celiac disease presentations decreased from 67% (pretesting group) to 19% (testing group; P < .001), but the incidence of classic celiac disease did not differ (0.8 vs 1.6 cases per 100000; P = .154). In the testing group, 13 previously unrecognized clinical presentations were observed in 98 children, including 35 with family history, 18 with abdominal pain, and 14 with type 1 diabetes mellitus. The frequency of Marsh IIIc lesions decreased from 64% (pretesting group) to 44% (testing group; P = .0403). In the testing group, classic celiac disease remained predominant (67%) in young children (<3 years), whereas atypical gastrointestinal and silent presentations predominated in older children. CONCLUSIONS: Antibody testing for celiac disease tripled the incidence of celiac disease and quadrupled the median age at diagnosis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".