Proximity fuzzy clustering and its application to time series clustering and prediction
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A new time series prediction architecture is introduced using a fuzzy inference system (FIS) and a new framework for fuzzy relational clustering of time series. The FIS is used to predict future samples in a time series where recurrent neural networks comprise the consequents of the rules. The antecedents come in the form of fuzzy relations; however, previous approaches such as FCM build these antecedents in a Euclidean feature space which is very limiting and not well suited to the problem of clustering time series. Our approach to learning the antecedents of the rules involves clustering time series using proximity values, indicative of closeness. A variant of the classical correlation is used to measure proximity. Our objective is to investigate and evaluate the application of proximity fuzzy clustering in the domain of time series prediction by comparing its performance against several commonly used time series prediction models.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it