Ambient Air Pollutants and Acute Case-Fatality of Cerebro-Cardiovascular Events: Takashima Stroke and AMI Registry, Japan (1988–2004)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Apart from the conventional risk factors, cerebro-cardiovascular disease (CVD) are also reported to be associated with air pollution, thus lowering the level of exposure might contribute in prevention activities to reduce the associated adverse outcomes. Though few studies conducted in Japan have reported on the CVD mortality but none have explored the effect of air pollutant exposure on the acute case-fatality of CVD. We investigated the effects of air pollution exposure on acute case-fatality of stroke and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in a setting where pollutant levels are rather low. METHODS: We leveraged the data from the Takashima Stroke and AMI Registry, which covers a population of approximately 55,000 in Takashima County located in central Japan. The study period of 6,210 days (16 years, leap years also taken into account) were divided into quartiles of daily average pollutant concentration; suspended particulate matter (SPM), sulfur dioxide (SO(2)), nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)), and photochemical oxidants (Ox). The stroke and AMI events were categorized to corresponding quartiles based on the pollution levels of the onset day. To study the effects of air pollutants, we estimated the fatality rate ratio across quartiles of the pollutants where the lowest quartile served as the reference. RESULTS: There were 307 (men: 153 and women: 154) fatal stroke cases within 28 days of onset among the 2,038 first ever stroke during 1988-2004. In the same period, there were 142 (men: 94 and women: 54) fatal AMI cases within 28 days of onset among the 429 first ever AMI events. The mean of the measured pollutant levels were as follows: SPM 26.9 µg/m(3), SO(2) 3.9 ppb, NO(2) 16.0 ppb, and Ox 28.4 ppb. Among the pollutants, higher levels of NO(2) showed increased fatality risk. In multi-pollutant model, the highest quartile of NO(2) was associated with 60% higher stroke case-fatality risk in comparison to lowest quartile of NO(2). In the fully adjusted model the fatality-rate ratio was 1.65 (95% CI 1.06-2.57). This association was more prominent among stroke subtype of cerebral infarction. Other pollutant levels did not show any association with stroke or AMI case-fatality. CONCLUSION: We observed association between NO(2) levels, an index of traffic related air pollution, with the acute case-fatality of stroke, especially cerebral infarction in our study population. Further studies are needed in different regions to determine the association between ambient air pollutants and acute cardiovascular fatalities.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".