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Record W2027286985 · doi:10.4296/cwrj2602233

Sensitivity of Hydrologic Systems to Climate Change

2001· article· en· W2027286985 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
Ivan Muzik

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Water Resources Journal / Revue canadienne des ressources hydriques · 2001
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStormClimate changeEnvironmental scienceFlood mythWatershedHydrology (agriculture)ClimatologyStandard deviationClimate modelMeteorologyGeologyGeographyStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

If climate change occurs, it could seriously impact water resources in Canada. In this paper I examine the change in flood probabilities in a study watershed in central Alberta in response to increases resulting from global warming in the mean and standard deviations of rainfall depths of storms of various durations. A 25% increase in the mean and a 50% increase in the standard deviation of storm rainfalls were selected based on the assumption that climates typical of southern Alberta, Montana and Colorado would extend northward to central Alberta. Lumped and semi-distributed modelling of the study watershed was used in a Monte Carlo simulation of floods resulting from the new climatic scenario. Simulation results show that modest increases in storm rainfall could result in large changes in flood magnitudes. Consequences of such flow increases on the capacity of a small dam spillway are illustrated.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.747
Threshold uncertainty score0.510

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.205
Teacher spread0.184 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations32
Published2001
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueCanadian Water Resources Journal / Revue canadienne des ressources hydriquesSame topicHydrology and Watershed Management StudiesFrench-language works237,207