MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2030754292 · doi:10.1097/bot.0000000000000099

Status of Road Safety and Injury Burden

2014· article· en· W2030754292 on OpenAlexaff
Paul J. Moroz, Bruce D. Browner

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Orthopaedic Trauma · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicTrauma and Emergency Care Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineOccupational safety and healthInjury preventionPoison controlMedical emergencyPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

INTRODUCTION: INCIDENCE AND DISEASE BURDEN Everyday on the roads of the world, more than 3500 people die and 30,000 are severely injured,1 and many of the injured develop long-term disabilities, which drain already low-resourced health care systems.2 Most of the death and disability—85% of deaths and 90% of disability adjusted life years—occur in the low-to-middle income countries (LMIC) of the world with pedestrians, cyclists, and mass transport riders being a significant portion.3 The African region, especially sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), faces the highest rate of surgical disability adjusted life years in the World, led primarily by motor vehicle–related injuries,4 with rates estimated to worsen over time.5 Although Africa shows one of the lowest rates of registered vehicles per person in the world, the fatality rate from crashes in Africa significantly exceeds high-income motorized regions.6,7 Most posttraumatic disabilities are due to injuries to the extremities or the spine,8,9 with complex long-bone injuries among the most disabling, even in high-income trauma systems.10 In Africa, where solid trauma data are limited, what studies that do exist suggest that 78% of injury-based disabilities come from complex extremity injuries.8,11 COSTS AND ECONOMIC IMPACT OF ROAD TRAUMA Globally, the annual burden of road crash costs is estimated at US $518 billion, with approximately US $65 to 100 billion coming from LMIC, exceeding the total annual amount that LMIC countries receive in annual development assistance.12,13 Although road crashes cost High Income Country roughly 2% of their Gross National Product, World Bank estimates of costs to African countries range generally between 1% and 3% of their Gross National Product each year, and as high as 5% in Kenya14 and Malawi, and as high as 9% in Angola.13 World Health Organization (WHO) projections estimate the economic costs of road crashes to increase by 80% over the next decade. PRESSING PROBLEMS The greatest impact on road traffic crashes in Africa will be the efforts to improve road enforced traffic laws and safety behavior, similar to the experience in North America over the past 5 decades. Seat belt and helmets laws, as well as speed reduction and impaired driving legislation have suffered from weak policing in the majority of Africa. There has been no overall improvement in the number of countries in Africa having comprehensive road safety legislation over the past decade.13 Although trauma surgeons can effectively advocate for better safety behavior and legislative efforts, their real task is to improve prehospital and inhospital trauma. However, the rapid growth of motorization in Africa has not been accompanied with improvements in health care, especially emergency health care. Prehospital emergency care in SSA is virtually nonexistent. Recent WHO estimates found Africa to have the least trained nurses and doctors in emergency care compared with other WHO regions.13 Reliable data on road injuries in Africa are scarce and unreliable.13 What does exist suggests a disturbing trend of actual worsening of fatality rates.13–15 Country-level data on the injury burden in SSA are particularly limited,16 with 77% of countries fatality data coming exclusively from police records, a source known to be variable in quality.17 Only 16% of countries in Africa reported the use of combined data from police and health facility records.13 FUTURE OUTLOOKS AND INITIATIVES It is now nearly half way into the United Nations Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011–2020. African orthopaedic surgeons are trained and starting to advocate for road traffic care on their continent, but Africa is the most deficient region in the world for orthopaedic surgeons.8,11,14 “Organized surgical institutions” (trauma associations, surgical NGO's, University departments of surgery, and so on) in the developed world can help to nurture effective trauma surveillance programs to develop cost-effective, outcome-oriented, region-specific surgical interventions there. Such trauma registries have been shown to work in SSA, but they lack infrastructure and sustainable funding.10,13,18,19 Organized surgical institutions and individual High Income Country orthopaedic trauma surgeons can and are promoting surgical training programs, fellowship training programs, and trauma training opportunities, but more needs to be performed.20 Organized aid institutions, such as the WHO's Global Initiative for Essential and Emergency Surgical Care (GIEESC—see other article in this edition of the journal on GIEESC), can provide needs assessment tools to build surgical capacity in district hospitals to improve trauma care in Africa.21,22 Partnering with emerging African trauma institutions create opportunities for collaboration not only in one of the world's poorest regions but also with one of the world's major emerging economies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.046
Threshold uncertainty score0.155

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0460.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.287
Teacher spread0.271 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueJournal of Orthopaedic TraumaSame topicTrauma and Emergency Care StudiesFrench-language works237,207