Incidence of Spondyloarthropathy in Patients with Crohn’s Disease: A Population-based Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Spondyloarthritis (SpA) is an extraintestinal manifestation of inflammatory bowel disease with significant clinical effects, although the frequency is uncertain. We assessed the cumulative incidence and clinical spectrum of SpA in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) in a population-based cohort. METHODS: The medical records of a population-based cohort of Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents diagnosed with CD between 1970 and 2004 were reviewed. Patients were followed longitudinally until migration, death, or December 31, 2010. We used the European Spondylarthropathy Study Group, Assessment of Spondyloarthritis international Society (ASAS) criteria and modified New York criteria to identify patients with SpA. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of SpA following diagnosis of CD. RESULTS: The cohort included 311 patients with CD (49.8% females; median age 29.9 yrs, range 8-89). Thirty-two patients developed SpA based on ASAS criteria. The cumulative incidence of SpA after CD diagnosis was 6.7% (95% CI 2.5%-6.7%) at 10 years, 13.9% (95% CI 8.7%-18.8%) at 20 years, and 18.6% (95% CI 11.0%-25.5%) at 30 years. The 10-year cumulative incidence of ankylosing spondylitis was 0, while both the 20-year and 30-year cumulative incidences were 0.5% (95% CI 0-1.6%). CONCLUSION: We have for the first time defined the actual cumulative incidence of SpA in CD using complete medical record information in a population-based cohort. The cumulative incidence of all forms of SpA increased to approximately 19% by 30 years from diagnosis of CD. Our results emphasize the importance of maintaining a high level of suspicion for SpA when following patients with CD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".