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Record W2034735153 · doi:10.1680/muen.2006.159.3.155

Cost forecast model for sewer infrastructure

2006· article· en· W2034735153 on OpenAlexaff
Ashraf El-Assaly, Samuel T. Ariaratnam, Janaka Y. Ruwanpura, Matthew Hok Shan Ng

Bibliographic record

VenueProceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Municipal Engineer · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicWater Systems and Optimization
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLogistic regressionLogitRegression analysisPredictive modellingComputer scienceOperations researchEngineeringMachine learning

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Sewer authorities are facing the onerous task of planning strategies for allocating funding levels to rehabilitate aging sewer infrastructure. Numerous modelling approaches have been developed by previous researchers that predict future condition based on various physical criteria. This paper develops a cost forecast model that employs a deterioration prediction. The deterioration model uses condition assessment data from inspections and incorporates these into a logit regression model that includes five independent parameters: age; waste type; material type; diameter; and depth. The deficiency probability generated from the logit regression model provides the catalyst for the cost forecasting model of sewer infrastructure presented in this paper.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.766
Threshold uncertainty score0.811

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.198
Teacher spread0.186 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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