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More on the mis-specification of the shape parameter with Weibull-to-exponential transformation

2000· article· en· W2037804320 on OpenAlex

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fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueQuality and Reliability Engineering International · 2000
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversity of AlbertaUniversity of Guelph
KeywordsWeibull distributionExponential functionTransformation (genetics)Shape parameterExponential distributionReliability (semiconductor)PercentileScale parameterMathematicsStatisticsWeibull modulusExponentiated Weibull distributionGamma distributionPower transformApplied mathematicsReliability engineeringPower (physics)EngineeringMathematical analysisPhysicsDiscrete mathematics

Abstract

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When lifetimes follow Weibull distribution with known shape parameter, a simple power transformation could be used to transform the data to the case of exponential distribution, which is much easier to analyze. Usually, the shape parameter cannot be known exactly and it is important to investigate the effect of mis-specification of this parameter. In a recent article, it was suggested that the Weibull-to-exponential transformation approach should not be used as the confidence interval for the scale parameter has very poor statistical property. However, it would be of interest to study the use of Weibull-to-exponential transformation when the mean time to failure or reliability is to be estimated, which is a more common question. In this paper, the effect of mis-specification of Weibull shape parameters on these quantities is investigated. For reliability-related quantities such as mean time to failure, percentile lifetime and mission reliability, the Weibull-to-exponential transformation approach is generally acceptable. For the cases when the data are highly censored or when small tail probability is concerned, further studies are needed, but these are known to be difficult statistical problems for which there are no standard solutions. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.954
Threshold uncertainty score0.585

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.050
GPT teacher head0.329
Teacher spread0.279 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it