Model Error Assessment of Burst Capacity Models for Corroded Pipes
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The model errors associated with five representative burst pressure prediction models, namely B31G, B31G Modified, DNV, PCORRC and RSTRENG, for corroded pipelines are evaluated based on a relatively large number full-scale burst tests on corroded pipes reported in the literature. All the test specimens in the database contain single isolated real corrosion defects. The means, coefficients of variation (COVs) and probability distribution of the model errors for the considered burst capacity models are derived based on the test-to-predicted burst pressure ratios for the collected test data. A numerical example is used to illustrate the impact of the model error on the probability of burst of the corroding pipeline.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it