When Failure is not an Option: Managing Megaprojects in the Current Environment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction This manuscript is intended to set the stage for the OTC General Session Panel discussion entitled " When Failure is not an Option: Managing Megaprojects in the Current Environment??, scheduled for Thursday, May 7, 2009. Members of this panel session are as follows:Richard Westney, Chairman, Westney Consulting Group (Panel Moderator)Joel Fort, General Manager, Yemen LNGJames Lucas, President & CEO, Luman InternationalLuc J. Messier, Senior Vice President - Project Development and Procurement, ConocoPhillipsDon Vardeman, Vice President -Worldwide Projects, Anadarko Petroleum Corporation Summary Megaprojects can be defined as projects that are so large that the conventional body of project and risk management knowledge is insufficient to ensure success. Given that significant overruns and delays on megaprojects are almost the norm, it appears that no one really has all the answers to meeting the special challenges of these huge projects. Failure is not an option for most megaprojects. The level of investment, the magnitude of the cashflows involved, and the organizational commitment required are such that the impact of bad outcomes can be devastating to the operator, partners and host countries involved. Megaprojects create challenges that, although now fairly typical, have not typically been addressed in the past. Given the relatively small number of past megaprojects, and their long duration, many executives and practitioners have limited or no experience with them - and the experience of those that do is often not the sort that one would wish to repeat. New approaches are needed, many have been tried, and a new body of knowledge is emerging for these very large projects. The panel is made up of people who are very experienced in megaprojects, representing the executive and project manager points of view, the owner and contractor points of view, as well as the independent perspective of consultants. Rather than focus on success stories, the panel will focus on the most difficult / challenging / intractable aspects of megaprojects and, with extensive audience participation, discuss what has worked, what has not, and what is needed going forward in the current energy and economic environment. Participants will take away an improved understanding that will assist in their planning and decision-making.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".