ADAPTIVE DENSITY ESTIMATION FOR GENERAL ARCH MODELS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We consider a modelYt= σtηtin which (σt) is not independent of the noise process (ηt) but σtis independent of ηtfor eacht. We assume that (σt) is stationary, and we propose an adaptive estimator of the density of ln(σt2) based on the observationsYt. Under a new dependence structure, the τ-dependency defined by Dedecker and Prieur (2005,Probability Theory and Related Fields132, 203–236), we prove that the rates of this nonparametric estimator coincide with the rates obtained in the independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) case when (σt) and (ηt) are independent. The results apply to various linear and nonlinear general autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (ARCH) processes. They are illustrated by simulations applying the deconvolution algorithm of Comte, Rozenholc, and Taupin (2006,Canadian Journal of Statistics34, 431–452) to a new noise density.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.036 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".