Effect of temporal collaboration network, maintenance activity, and experience on defect exposure
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Context: Number of defects fixed in a given month is used as an input for several project management decisions such as release time, maintenance effort estimation and software quality assessment. Past activity of developers and testers may help us understand the future number of reported defects. Goal: To find a simple and easy to implement solution, predicting defect exposure. Method: We propose a temporal collaboration network model that uses the history of collaboration among developers, testers, and other issue originators to estimate the defect exposure for the next month. Results: Our empirical results show that temporal collaboration model could be used to predict the number of exposed defects in the next month with R2 values of 0.73. We also show that temporality gives a more realistic picture of collaboration network compared to a static one. Conclusions: We believe that our novel approach may be used to better plan for the upcoming releases, helping managers to make evidence based decisions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".