Convex duality in constrained mean-variance portfolio optimization
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We apply conjugate duality to establish the existence of optimal portfolios in an asset-allocation problem, with the goal of minimizing the variance of the final wealth which results from trading over a fixed, finite horizon in a continuous-time, complete market, subject to the constraints that the expected final wealth equal a specified target value and the portfolio of the investor (defined by the dollar amount invested in each stock) take values in a given closed, convex set. The asset prices are modelled by Itô processes, for which the market parameters are random processes adapted to the information filtration available to the investor. We synthesize a dual optimization problem and establish a set of optimality relations, similar to the Euler-Lagrange and transversality relations of calculus of variations, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the given optimization problem and its dual to each have a solution, with zero duality gap. We then solve these relations, to establish the existence of an optimal portfolio.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it