Early Hypothermia in Severely Injured Trauma Patients Is a Significant Risk Factor for Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome but Not Mortality
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relationship of early hypothermia to multiple organ failure and mortality in a prospectively-collected database of severely injured trauma patients. METHODS: This prospective observational study was performed at 7 level I trauma centers over a 16-month period. Severely injured trauma patients with signs of hypoperfusion (eg, base deficit, hypotension) and need for blood transfusion during their early hospital course were followed for 24 hours with near infrared spectroscopy-derived tissue oxygen saturation (StO2) and other variables for 28 days to evaluate outcomes including multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) and death. Early hypothermia was defined as the presence of a temperature <35°C [corrected] anytime within the first 6 hours of hospitalization. Comparisons between groups were made using the Wilcoxon Two-Sample test for continuous variables and either the Fisher exact or chi2 test for categorical variables. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to understand the effect of hypothermia on outcome (MODS and mortality). RESULTS: Hypothermia was very common in this cohort of patients, present in 43% of patients enrolled (155/359). Hypothermic patients were 3 times more likely than normothermic patients to develop MODS (21% vs. 9%, P = 0.003). Hypothermic patients did not have an increased incidence of mortality (16% vs. 12%, P= 0.2826). Base deficit in hypothermic patients did not discriminate between patients who did or did not develop MODS (9.8 +/- 4.6 mEq/L vs. 9.4 +/- 4.4 mEq/L). In contrast, base deficit in hypothermic patients discriminated with respect to mortality (14.6 +/- 7.2 mEq/L versus 9.5 +/- 4.5 mEq/L; P 0.0021), but this effect was not observed in normothermic patients [corrected]. Significant predictors of MODS using multivariate analysis included minimum StO2 (P= 0.0014) and hypothermia (P = 0.0371). Predictors for mortality using multivariate analysis included minimum StO2 (P= 0.0021) and base deficit (P= 0.0454), but not hypothermia (P= 0.5289). Hypothermia remained a significant risk factor for MODS when systolic blood pressure, volume of fluid, and volume of blood infused were included in the multivariate model. CONCLUSION: Hypothermia is common in severely injured trauma patients (nearly half of patients in this series) and is a significant risk factor for MODS but not mortality. The predictive value of base deficit for development of MODS is blunted in the presence of hypothermia. A low StO2 value predicts MODS and mortality in trauma patients and is a durable measure in both normothermic and hypothermic patient groups.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it