A Literary-Biographical Approach to the Study of Conspiracy Theory: The Development of the “Grand Design” in the Works of Douglas Reed
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This case study, a literary-biographical analysis of the early nonfiction works of conspiracy theorist Douglas Reed (1895–1976), is intended as a contribution to both conspiracy theory studies and the study of nonfiction narrative. My argument is that Reed’s oeuvre, understood diachronically and as an ultimately teleological whole, provides privileged insight into how conspiracy narratives are created, what happens when they come into conflict, and how new and larger conspiracy narratives are synthesized. Further, Reed’s work demonstrates that if there is a “standard” anti-Semitic conspiracy narrative, its manifestations are not homogenous and are at times subject to radical modification, with such modifications occurring during a conspiracy theorist’s processes of investigation and reinvestigation, as initially held theories connect and conflict with the deeper structures of the standard anti-Semitic conspiracy narrative and create unique synthetic variations.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.010 | 0.047 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.006 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".