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Record W2059805682 · doi:10.1139/cjb-2015-0014

Impact of future climate change on a genetic plantation of hybrid pine

2015· article· en· W2059805682 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Sophan Chhin

Bibliographic record

VenueBotany · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicTree-ring climate responses
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersMichigan State University
KeywordsPinus densifloraDendrochronologyClimate changeHybridDendroclimatologyBasal areaPinus <genus>BiologyGrowing seasonEcologyBotany

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

European black pine (Pinus nigra Arnold) and Japanese red pine (Pinus densiflora Siebold &amp; Zucc.) are nonnative conifers that have been introduced into the United States and have the ability to hybridize with each other and can potentially become an invasive threat. Interspecific hybridization is an important component of applied genetic tree improvement programs. This study retrospectively examined the influence of climate on interannual growth patterns of 12 full-sib families of hybrid pine that were derived from the hybridization of European black pine and Japanese red pine. The hybrids (Pinus nigra × Pinus densiflora) were initially planted in 1982 in southern mid-Michigan at Michigan State University (MSU) Sandhill Research Area. Tree-ring analysis methods (dendrochronology) were used to quantify the influence of climate (i.e., mean temperature and moisture index) on interannual basal area growth rates of the hybrid pine over an 18 year period (1991–2008). The productivity of the 12 full-sib families of hybrid pine were also projected under future climate change in the 21st century based on the IPCC A1B emission scenario. Climatic sensitivities that were identified in the hybrid pine families included high temperature stress in the summer and fall, moisture stress in the summer, winter harshness, and the timing of the start of the growing season. According to projections, by the end of the 21st century, 8 out of the 12 pine families will show significant decreases in growth outside of the historical norm under the temperature-based dendrochronology models, while 4 families will show significant declines under the moisture index models. The results indicate that the hybrid pine families appear to be generally resilient to future changes in moisture, but will likely be extremely vulnerable to future climatic warming, and thus do not appear to be a future invasive threat. This study represents the first dendrochronological examination of hybrid pine in North America.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.032
Threshold uncertainty score0.260

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.036
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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