Achieving population goals in a long-lived wildlife species (Equus caballus) with contraception
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The ultimate goal of any wildlife contraceptive effort is some alteration of the target population, either through a slowing of growth, or stabilisation or reduction of the population. Early population models suggested that short-term contraceptive agents applied to long-lived species would not achieve significant population changes. Native porcine zona pellucida antigen (PZP), a short-term contraceptive vaccine, was applied to a herd of wild horses inhabiting Assateague Island National Seashore, MD, USA, over a 13-year period, with an immediate goal of achieving zero population growth, a secondary goal of reducing the population from 175 to 150 and a tertiary goal of reaching 120 individuals, all without the physical removal of animals. Contraceptive efficacy ranged from 92 to 100% on an annual basis (96.28 ± 2.49%), and the percentage of adult females that was treated on any given year ranged from 42 to 76% (67.78 ± 18.21%). The goal of zero population growth was achieved in 2 years, an initial decline in the population became apparent in 8 years and by Year 11, the population declined to 135, a decrease of 22.8%. The lengthy period required for achieving a population decline was caused by increasing body condition scores, reduced mortality and significantly increased longevity among treated females.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it