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Estimating Measurement Error Based on Evidence Theory

2012· article· en· W2073126905 on OpenAlexaff
Ming Xiao

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvanced materials research · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicForecasting Techniques and Applications
Canadian institutionsCanadian Association of Emergency Physicians
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProcess (computing)Observational errorSet (abstract data type)Probabilistic logicRandom errorComputer sciencePropagation of uncertaintyAlgorithmEstimationMathematicsData miningStatisticsArtificial intelligenceEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Measurement error is traditionally represented with probability distributions. Although probabilistic representations of measurement error have been successfully employed in many analyses, such representations have been criticized for requiring more refined knowledge with respect to the existing error than that is really present. As a result, this paper proposes a general framework and process for estimating the measurement error based on evidence theory. In this research cumulative belief functions (CBFs) and cumulative plausibility functions (CPFs) are used to estimate measurement error. The estimation includes two steps:(1) modeling the parameters by means of a random set, and discrediting the random set to focal elements in finite numbers; (2)summarizing the propagation error. An example is demonstrated the estimation process.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.039
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.027
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Bench or experimental · Consensus signal: Bench or experimental
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.193
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0390.027
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.656
GPT teacher head0.575
Teacher spread0.081 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designBench or experimental
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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