Bibliographic record
Abstract
I demonstrate that Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be used very effectively to determine best‐fit values, uncertainties, and possible correlations or degeneracies in the fitted parameters of photometric spot modeling. Details of the Markov chain Monte Carlo methods applied here are briefly described, including the Metropolis‐Hastings algorithm and the tests that are used to ensure proper convergence and mixing. This Markov chain Monte Carlo functionality is applied to recent observations of Eridani by the Microvariablity and Oscillations of Stars ( MOST ) satellite, and the two‐spot solution showing differential rotation, as discussed in B. Croll et al. Conclusions in the latter are largely confirmed, but a strong correlation between the inclination and other fitted parameters is noted. The Markov chain Monte Carlo functionality has been included in StarSpotz, a freely available program for photometric spot modeling.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.019 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".