The Retreat of Deposit Dollarization<sup>*</sup>
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract After growing rapidly during the 1990s, the scale of deposit dollarization has slowed or even reversed since 2001. This paper employs an expanded cross‐country data set on the share of bank deposits denominated in foreign currency. It documents the break in trend and seeks to explain this apparent reversal in this aspect of global financial integration. Valuation changes related to dollar weakness from 2002 do not seem to be the cause. But lower inflation in many countries has reduced the attractions of foreign currency as a hedge. Also, the Argentine crisis of 2001–02 may have heightened investor awareness of the risk of forced conversion of foreign currency deposits. A return to higher inflation and fading memories of forced conversions could lead to a resumption in the growth of deposit dollarization, with the banking risks that this can entail.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it