Halogen Occultation Experiment confirmation of stratospheric chlorine decreases in accordance with the Montreal Protocol
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Near‐global time series of Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) derived total Cl, F, and the Cl/F ratio were evaluated and compared with data from two ground‐based CFC measurement programs and United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) best‐case scenarios for CFC emissions. The HALOE Cl profiles confirm that the chlorine burden near the stratopause is decreasing and this decrease is driven by tropospheric decreases of methyl chloroform. The HALOE F profiles show that the fluorine burden near the stratopause is primarily influenced by CFC‐12. The Cl/F ratio, which is insensitive to transport effects at 55 km, shows that the atmosphere near the stratopause is becoming more fluorinated since the inception of the HALOE mission and less chlorinated since the start of 1997. The temporal changes in the derived Cl, F, and Cl/F ratio at 55 km are in accord with UNEP projections and in situ observations. These combined results demonstrate that the Montreal Protocol and subsequent strengthening amendments are currently having the desired effect of reducing stratospheric chlorine.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".